You can optimise for lifetime: Ive got 5yaer old packs that still do about 75% of what they did new.
So why are they scrapped then?
Becasue the doors rust through?
It doesn;t matter why they are scrapped: what maters is the lifetime of theweakest link,and the cost to repair, or the cots to replacce the whole car.
People expect about 15 years and 200K miles.
The cost of a exchange battery is ismply compared with te fuel savings and the cost of the annual service on an IC car, which is likley to be far more expensive.
Basically there should be NO routine service on an electric car power train at all. Tyres brakes suspension and bulb check (LED?) plus a battery quality check. Maybe a power output check, in case permanent magnets aren't..but I would expect that all to be part of the inbuilt software anyway.
No suitable batteries.
Thats the key. The newer generation of lithiums can just about do the job. Thats the key issue. No other battery has ever been able to match the efficiency, lifetime, self discharge and power to weight and energy to weight.
Theres way to go, and early batteries will not be all that good, but they are good enough right now - just - to go into small scale service. I would NOT buy an electric car right now without a full scale battery warranty, though. I expect there will be plenty of issues related to them. But if the manufacturers stand behind the customers and simply fix the issues, why not?