possible high winds...

On Tuesday 22 October 2013 15:53 The Natural Philosopher wrote in uk.d-i-y:

Lets see how the new fence with slotted concrete posts holds out...

I think the old shed roof is a gonner though - it's half off now!

That's 111 - 130 mph *sustained*.

Complete and utter bullshit IMHO.

There might be gale (40 mph sustained) or even a storm (55 mph sustained) but not Category 3. Trouble is the media always quote gusts, which are generally 10 to 15 mph higher than the sustained wind speed.

Most places don't see even 40 mph sustained wind speeds. The average garden would look as if it had been attacked by a flail hedge trimmer if they did.

All of that said, having survived the '87 hurricane, the devastation is truly incredible.

I did say that it came with disclaimers.

Thats the scuttlebutt on the websites tho.

I tend to agree. Although 80mph+ gusts mightbe on the cards.

they are what does te damage by and large,.

Indeed, after 1987, they did...

Look dont shoot the messenger.

This sems to have fgot some excited enough to talk about a 'possible one in 300 year storm' so its worth keeping an eye on.

It will certainly be wet and windy. The juries well out on the numbers that's all.

Would you be liable if it hits someone?

On Tuesday 22 October 2013 17:21 GB wrote in uk.d-i-y:

Felt...

Which will come off in small strips I expect...

The roof wood is fine. That's not going anywhere...

I am not sure how I would feel if I was hit in the face by a piece of roofing felt doing 50 miles an hour, but I agree that it is not as bad as bits of the wooden roof.

On Tuesday 22 October 2013 17:35 GB wrote in uk.d-i-y:

I doubt that will happen - it will be on the ground IME before it gets anywhere near people. It's also sheltered on one side by the house which limits its options.

It would have to travel 50 feet before it will get to the highway - and if the wind is that bad, it would take off any shed felt, new or not, except one built by a few notable people on here!

Dude - I said that partly in jest - if there was any real risk, I would have dealt with it - but I'm not stripping my shed just in case!

Can you say what weather website this is at all?...

I've been watching these multiple lows in the Atlantic split and combine for some days now, but ATM they don't seem to making any progress towards us. ISTR there are alerts in the US about hurricane Raymond though.

Anyways, if this hits, we'll certainly get a storm, so I'm not going to do a Michael Fish ...

Until you wrote that you could have blamed it on climate change.

Perhaps we could get Boris the Mayor to stand on a high hilltop on that day. Brian

If my asbestos garage blew apart by accident that night, would I still have to clear up the mess at my expense if it broke a few neighbours greenhouses?

Brian

There's a house with a *huge* extension part built by the seaside near me. Timber kit all in place but no windows. The silver paper on the walls and the roofing felt is already beginning to shred. Should be interesting to see how it fares!

Tim

On Tuesday 22 October 2013 18:34 Brian Gaff wrote in uk.d-i-y:

Your house insurance (buildings) would probably cover it *and* damage to 3rd party property.

But it might be a good time to check the policy...

On Tuesday 22 October 2013 18:32 Brian Gaff wrote in uk.d-i-y:

Tony B Liar. His "Dumbo" ears should work quite well..

It is impossible to predict accurately the weather for a week hence.

Bill

not in broad terms

You can see the weather patterns coming in on te jetstream and know its likley to be windy or not.

Accurate, no, out by a day, ceratinly, but something is on the way.

hence.

"Something" is always on the way, having an idea what that "something" is is the hard bit. B-)

The chart for 1200 SUN 27th has an interesting low pressure area but it's not storm size, gale size probably. I'd guesstimate it deeping a bit and being the first real winter gale, possibly storm, for Western Scotland.

But at that far into the future it might not develop at all or take a completely different track...