Sent to me by Email.
It's rather long but very interesting. Mo
Sent to me by Email.
It's rather long but very interesting. Mo
It's unlikely that this is because the computer is smarter. It's just a lot faster, so it can run the algorithms already developed 50 years ago more quickly, and so can look 50 moves ahead instead of 10.
Using *what* for batteries? AIUI, there is no magic battery technology waiting in the wings that will give us an energy density greater than diesel. Or do you know better?
Those of us old enough will remember those early 50s predictions of us all owning cars that convert to gyrocopters.
In the 1960s when I started in computers there were numerous predictions, most have proved wrong. The biggest mistake was that all menial jobs would be taken over by computers by the year 2000. In fact that did not happen, it was mainly middle class jobs that disappeared, for example payroll clerks and draughtsmen.
Star Trek put the faster than light travel invention in 2019. I somehow doubt that will be achieved.
I think its more likely that robots will be fighting wars and maybe we will have designer humans as our leaders sooner than one might think, both are theoretically possible now. You are already finding that drone attacks make war less messy for the person who uses them after all, and Talis and other defence companies have robot soldiers in development that can withstand almost direct hits by munitions. Brian
Many good points, many mistakes. I'm sure we will see society change massi vely as computers get more capable.
which is what smart human go players do
Gripping & manipulating by computer has proven harder than expected, and th at prediction I'm sure underestimated the challenge of dealing with things when they don't go to a simplistic plan. But these are being tackled, and o nce solved it will at some point be bye bye manual labour in the 1st world.
NT
Humans are not getting quicker, whereas computers are. I don't believe a human could look 50 moves ahead. Even if they could, the computer will be able to look 100, 200 ahead and the human will be left behind.
There is actually. Here is just one possibility.
In any case, 95% of journeys are within present electric car ranges.
...If you then take the car off the road for ages to recharge. Hardly very practical for a taxi fleet.
NT
Which is not as energy denbse as a lithium cell.
Harry is talking bollox as usual. The best possible battery known is lithium air. It would rival diesel if it could actually be made cheaply and safely or able to deliver any decent power.
Probably at least 20 years away, if at all.
No. The likely market for plug in hybrid or BEV is the affluent suburban second car market where it does short hops to the school and the supermarket and then spends the rest of the time on the drive, or where hubby uses it to get to the station, plugs it in there, and drives it back in the evening.
"Usually considered for stationary applications".
It does talk about use in cars, but that requires (in order to get a decent range) that you be able to drive up to a pump and refill your two electrolyte tanks. So there's an infrastructure issue.
Is anyone developing this for use in cars?
Don't be silly. Imagine the work needed to set up a brick laying robot on the average building site. Etc. Or to re-plumb your house.
Of course automation will continue to increase in factories, etc. It is very good at doing repetitive tasks. But adapting quickly to different circumstances and conditions will still be a human function for many a year.
Not as much as for pure electric cars. We already have all the technology and a large and well developed infrastructure for handling liquids. Unlike reinstalling the electricity grid from scratch and building another zillion power stations to power electric cars.
Sure - but it would still have to be built (at each petrol station, I mean). And then it turns out that one of the fluids is a long-term poison, or not all car manufacturers get on the same chemistry bandwagon etc etc.
Petrol stations already have a full re-build every few years - to replace the tanks etc. So adding different ones would be a bit easier than increasing our entire generation and distribution system to cope with the widespread use of electric vehicles.
much like any other app then. Computers can already process plans.
Of course. And equally obviously as bots can do more year by year, we will let them.
NT
A plan is a plan. It doesn't necessarily represent reality. A bit like the armchair PoP designers I used to have to deal with, who'd expect you to use their plan that fits the kit in the rack alright but only because they'd assumed that cables have zero thickness.
If the plan incorporates false assumptions, the computer will be f***ed. The on-site human, OTOH, will be able to adapt.
If you've ever done any, take yourself through the process of bricklaying. Materials needed etc. And the conditions on a building site. Following a plan for the building is about 1% of the process.
When bots can do the necessaries, we will let them. They aren't there yet. Each year they get better and can do more. The advance in ability is expone ntial, and people routinely fail to grasp how much things change in computi ng. Prototype bots already build houses. None of this is news, or any surpr ise. It's singularity 101 stuff.
NT
y practical for a taxi fleet.
Charge overnight while you are in bed. You're not clever are you? Especially for a non-owner.
very practical for a taxi fleet.
Well turnip, the possibility with flow batteries is to change the electroly te to "charge" the battery.
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