Sent to me by Email.
It's rather long but very interesting. Mo
An interesting read................
> FUTURE PREDICTIONS: Robert M. Goldman MD, PhD, DO, FAASP
> In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper
> worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they
> went bankrupt. What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in
> the next 10 years - and most people don't see it coming. Did you think in 1998
> that 3 years later you would never take pictures on paper film again? Yet
> digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pix els,
> but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a
> disappointment for a long time, before it became way superior and got
> mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen with Artificial
> Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printin g,
> agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution. Welcome t o the
> Exponential Age.
>
> Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
> Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the bi ggest
> taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the
> world, although they don't own any properties.
>
> Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in
> understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the
> world, 10 years earlier than expected. In the US, young lawyers already d on't
> get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for mor e or
> less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% acc uracy
> when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90%
> fewer lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. Watson already
> helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 time more accurate than human nurses.
> Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces
> better than humans. By 2030, computers will become more intelligent than > humans. >
> Autonomous Cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the
> public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. Yo u
> don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will
> show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need
> to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive wh ile
> driving. Our kids will never get a driver's license and will never own a car.
> It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% fewer cars for tha t. We
> can transform former parking space into parks. 1.2 million people die eac h
> year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 100,000 k m,
> with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 10 million km. That
> will save a million lives each year.
>
> Most car companies may become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the
> evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies
> (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a com puter
> on wheels. I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; they a re
> completely terrified of Tesla.
>
> Insurance Companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the
> insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model wi ll
> disappear.
>
> Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, peopl e
> will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood. >
> Electric cars won?t become mainstream until 2020. Cities will be less noisy
> because all cars will run on electric. Electricity will become incredibly
> cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30
> years, but you can only now see the impact. Last year, more solar energy was
> installed worldwide than fossil. The price for solar will drop so much th at
> all coal companies will be out of business by 2025.
>
> With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination now o nly
> needs 2kWh per cubic meter. We don't have scarce water in most places, we only
> have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can h ave
> as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
>
> Health: There will be companies that will build a medical device (called the
> "Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your
> retina scan, your blood sample and you breathe into it. It then analyses 54
> biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a
> few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medicin e,
> nearly for free.
>
> 3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to
> $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All m ajor
> shoe companies started 3D printing shoes. Spare airplane parts are alread y 3D
> printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that
> eliminates the need for the large number of spare parts they used to have in
> the past.
>
> At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibili ties.
> You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home. In Ch ina,
> they already 3D printed a complete 6-storey office building. By 2027, 10% of
> everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.
>
> Business Opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask
> yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the ans wer
> is yes, how can you make that happen sooner? If it doesn't work with your
> phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th cen tury
> is doomed in to failure in the 21st century.
>
> Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot
> of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a
> small time.
>
> Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farme rs in
> 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead of wo rking
> all days on their fields. Agroponics will need much less water. The first
> Petri dish produced veal is now available and will be cheaper than
> cow-produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used
> for cows. Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There are several
> startups that will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contain s
> more protein than meat. It will be labeled as "alternative protein source "
> (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).
>
> There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you are.
> Until 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions if you
> are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when the y are
> telling the truth and when not.
>
> Bitcoin will become mainstream this year and might even become the defaul t
> reserve currency.
>
> Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per yea r.
> Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years. The
> increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more than one ye ar
> increase per year. So we all might live for a long long time, probably wa y
> more than 100.
>
> Education: The cheapest smart phones are already at $10 in Africa and Asi a.
> Until 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smart phone. That means, everyon e has
> the same access to world class education.
>
> Robert M. Goldman MD, PhD, DO, FAASP
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> World Chairman-International Medical Commission
> Co-Founder & Chairman of the Board-A4M
> Founder & Chairman-International Sports Hall of Fame
> Co-Founder & Chairman-World Academy of Anti-Aging Medicine
> President Emeritus-National Academy of Sports Medicine (NASM)
> Chairman-U.S. Sports Academy?s Board of Visitors
>
> FREE Health Longevity info newsletter at:
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