OT

[Tim Streater]

Indeed. But that doesn't make them murderers. The chance of someone winning the lottery is, we're told, 14,000,000 to one. But, oddly, someone does quite often. Does that make them a cheat?

[Brian-Gaff]

Noo, I'm sure there is a connection between earthquakes and people piddling in a public place, but I'd never suggest they were linked. Brian

[Andy Burns]

Not any more; they have (or will?) added extra balls to make it 45 million to one.

[Weatherlawyer]

Changed my mind about what that airliners crashing cause earthquakes.?

I had expected a very low standard of thought-throughput on here but this d egree of shit for brains beggars belief. If you can't think before you repl y to a post make sure it is on a topic you know something about, it may hel p you refrain from making a completely rammed head up arse of yourself.

[Tim+]

Nope. Go back and read what you wrote. You said that major air crashes occur after earthquakes. Why draw attention to a spurious association unless you were trying to imply a causation.

Maybe you don't believe this anymore, but you clearly imply that you used to.

Tim

[tabbypurr]

it isn't

[GB]

Quite right. It was the medical expert giving statistical evidence that was the problem. Didn't he get struck off?

The jury was probably influenced by that. ISTR a tabloid headline screaming "70 million to 1" odds, or something like that.

Wasn't the initial appeal unsuccessful, specifically because the judges said that the flawed statistical evidence was only a very small part of the case against the lady?

[Weatherlawyer]

Quite frankly I wonder how you mange to incorporate the use of a computer with the use of writing. Natural laws appear to have no logic or merit where you are concerned. I am very sorry that you have wasted my time.

How difficult would it have been for you to read what I wrote you absolute oaf.

However things having changed. I am sure I do not wish to overload the electrical circuit in your porridge housing, not that it is doing much more that temporarily preventing it going rotten with disuse:

2015/11/02 08:31:16 51.64 -173.33 4.9 M Andreanof Islands, Aleutians 08:28:11 52.10 -173.31 4.7 M Andreanof Islands, Aleutians 08:24:23 51.60 -173.29 5.2 M Andreanof Islands, Aleutians 08:17:04 56.72 -175.78 5.2 mb Bering Sea 08:15:34 51.65 -173.42 5.9 M Andreanof Islands, Aleutians

Now it appears we are about to make up for the lack of a suitable earthquake with a largish eruption somewhere in the region of Papua New Guinea or Indonesia along with some Russian/Alaskan accompaniment.

I think that the energy value I was considering at the time of the forecast will be factored into an aerial storm of the type that produces derechos. May I presume that you know what those are? You obviously don't know what an airliner is perhaps as you give an example of so clearly here, above, you do not have the ability to look up.

That does not mean I believe you don't know about the sky or what generally happens to it and in it; so much as you have never given it any consideration, beyond it having something to do with a useful place for keeping air in.

And maybe cooling that porridge you carry around upon you shoulders so uselessly.

[Andy Burns]

It's you who sauntered in with the crackpot theory ...

[Tim Streater]

Ah no. Not a theory. Not even a hypothesis at this point. Just some ramblings.

[Weatherlawyer]

an air crash was by definition a correlation.

It isn't a factor. However I never claimed causation in context it is obvio us I claimed correlation of more than one coincident and that allows the co rrect use of the term: Correlation refers to any of a broad class of statis tical relationships involving dependence.

I never tried to explain a degree of dependence as this varies considerably all I implied was that overall failures are due to something in the air ho wever temporary or unfortunate its precipitation. I will help you out here but since you are determined to be right at my cost I will not take you ver y far, as You can not get far disblieving me with success:

(Not that you seem to have difficulty enjoying successful disbelief. Succee ding at disbelief is the proclivity of those determined to enjoy failure.)

I have set out several earthquakes of a magnitude likely to provide suitabl e examples not because I wish to encourage you but because I believe you to be so adept at failure:

time latitude longitude mag place

2015-10-26T09:09:32.760Z 36.4406 70.7167 7.5 45km N of `Alaqahdari-ye Kira n wa Munjan, Afghanistan 2015-09-16T22:54:32.860Z -31.5729 -71.6744 8.3 48km W of Illapel, Chile 2015-05-30T11:23:02.110Z 27.8386 140.4931 7.8 189km WNW of Chichi-shima, J apan 2015-05-05T01:44:06.380Z -5.4624 151.8751 7.5 130km SSW of Kokopo, Papua N ew Guinea 2015-04-25T06:11:25.950Z 28.2305 84.7314 7.8 36km E of Khudi, Nepal 2015-03-29T23:48:31.010Z -4.7294 152.5623 7.5 53km SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2014-06-23T20:53:09.700Z 51.8486 178.7352 7.9 19km SE of Little Sitkin Isl and, Alaska 2014-04-19T13:28:00.810Z -6.7547 155.0241 7.5 70km SW of Panguna, Papua Ne w Guinea 2014-04-12T20:14:39.300Z -11.2701 162.1481 7.6 93km SSE of Kirakira, Solom on Islands 2014-04-03T02:43:13.110Z -20.5709 -70.4931 7.7 53km SW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-01T23:46:47.260Z -19.6097 -70.7691 8.2 94km NW of Iquique, Chile 2013-11-17T09:04:55.530Z -60.2738 -46.4011 7.7 Scotia Sea 2013-09-24T11:29:47.970Z 26.951 65.5009 7.7 61km NNE of Awaran, Pakistan 2013-05-24T05:44:48.980Z 54.892 153.221 8.3 Sea of Okhotsk 2013-04-16T10:44:20.180Z 28.033 61.996 7.7 83km E of Khash, Iran 2013-02-06T01:12:25.830Z -10.799 165.114 8 76km W of Lata, Solomon Islands 2013-01-05T08:58:19.330Z 55.393 -134.652 7.5 Southeastern Alaska 2012-10-28T03:04:08.820Z 52.788 -132.101 7.8 Haida Gwaii, Canada 2012-09-05T14:42:07.800Z 10.085 -85.315 7.6 Costa Rica 2012-08-31T12:47:33.380Z 10.811 126.638 7.6 Philippine Islands region 2012-08-14T02:59:38.460Z 49.8 145.064 7.7 Sea of Okhotsk 2012-04-11T10:43:10.850Z 0.802 92.463 8.2 off the west coast of northern S umatra 2012-04-11T08:38:36.720Z 2.327 93.063 8.6 off the west coast of northern S umatra 2011-07-06T19:03:18.260Z -29.539 -176.34 7.6 Kermadec Islands region 2011-03-11T06:25:50.300Z 38.058 144.59 7.7 off the east coast of Honshu, J apan 2011-03-11T06:15:40.280Z 36.281 141.111 7.9 near the east coast of Honshu, Japan 2011-03-11T05:46:24.120Z 38.297 142.373 9 near the east coast of Honshu, J apan 2010-10-25T14:42:22.460Z -3.487 100.082 7.8 Kepulauan Mentawai region, Ind onesia 2010-07-23T23:15:10.190Z 6.776 123.259 7.5 Moro Gulf, Mindanao, Philippine s 2010-07-23T22:51:11.840Z 6.497 123.48 7.6 Moro Gulf, Mindanao, Philippines 2010-06-12T19:26:50.460Z 7.881 91.936 7.5 Nicobar Islands, India region 2010-04-06T22:15:01.580Z 2.383 97.048 7.8 northern Sumatra, Indonesia 2010-02-27T06:34:11.530Z -36.122 -72.898 8.8 offshore Bio-Bio, Chile 2009-10-07T22:18:51.240Z -12.517 166.382 7.8 Santa Cruz Islands 2009-10-07T22:03:14.470Z -13.006 166.51 7.7 Vanuatu 2009-09-30T10:16:09.250Z -0.72 99.867 7.6 southern Sumatra, Indonesia 2009-09-29T17:48:10.990Z -15.489 -172.095 8.1 Samoa Islands region 2009-08-10T19:55:38.730Z 14.099 92.902 7.5 Andaman Islands, India region 2009-07-15T09:22:29.030Z -45.762 166.562 7.8 off the west coast of the Sou th Island of New Zealand 2009-03-19T18:17:40.470Z -23.043 -174.66 7.6 Tonga region 2009-01-03T19:43:50.650Z -0.414 132.885 7.7 near the north coast of Papua, Indonesia 2008-07-05T02:12:04.480Z 53.882 152.886 7.7 Sea of Okhotsk 2008-05-12T06:28:01.570Z 31.002 103.322 7.9 eastern Sichuan, China 2007-12-09T07:28:20.820Z -25.996 -177.514 7.8 south of the Fiji Islands 2007-11-14T15:40:50.530Z -22.247 -69.89 7.7 Antofagasta, Chile 2007-09-28T13:38:57.880Z 22.013 142.668 7.5 Volcano Islands, Japan region 2007-09-12T23:49:03.720Z -2.625 100.841 7.9 Kepulauan Mentawai region, Ind onesia 2007-09-12T11:10:26.830Z -4.438 101.367 8.5 southern Sumatra, Indonesia 2007-08-15T23:40:57.890Z -13.386 -76.603 8 near the coast of central Peru 2007-08-08T17:05:04.920Z -5.859 107.419 7.5 Java, Indonesia 2007-04-01T20:39:58.710Z -8.466 157.043 8.1 Solomon Islands 2007-01-21T11:27:45.060Z 1.065 126.282 7.5 Molucca Sea 2007-01-13T04:23:21.160Z 46.243 154.524 8.1 east of the Kuril Islands 2006-11-15T11:14:13.570Z 46.592 153.266 8.3 Kuril Islands 2006-07-17T08:19:26.680Z -9.284 107.419 7.7 south of Java, Indonesia 2006-05-03T15:26:40.290Z -20.187 -174.123 8 Tonga 2006-04-20T23:25:02.150Z 60.949 167.089 7.6 near the east coast of Koryaks kiy Avtonomnyy Okrug, Russia 2006-01-27T16:58:53.670Z -5.473 128.131 7.6 Banda Sea 2005-10-08T03:50:40.800Z 34.539 73.588 7.6 Pakistan 2005-09-26T01:55:37.670Z -5.678 -76.398 7.5 northern Peru 2005-09-09T07:26:43.730Z -4.539 153.474 7.6 New Ireland region, Papua New Guinea 2005-06-13T22:44:33.900Z -19.987 -69.197 7.8 Tarapaca, Chile 2005-03-28T16:09:36.530Z 2.085 97.108 8.6 northern Sumatra, Indonesia 2004-12-26T00:58:53.450Z 3.295 95.982 9.1 off the west coast of northern S umatra 2004-12-23T14:59:04.410Z -49.312 161.345 8.1 north of Macquarie Island 2004-11-11T21:26:41.150Z -8.152 124.868 7.5 Kepulauan Alor, Indonesia 2003-11-17T06:43:06.800Z 51.146 178.65 7.8 Rat Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska 2003-09-25T19:50:06.360Z 41.815 143.91 8.3 Hokkaido, Japan region 2003-08-04T04:37:20.130Z -60.532 -43.411 7.6 Scotia Sea 2003-07-15T20:27:50.530Z -2.598 68.382 7.6 Carlsberg Ridge 2003-01-22T02:06:34.610Z 18.77 -104.104 7.6 offshore Colima, Mexico 2002-11-03T22:12:41.000Z 63.517 -147.444 7.9 Central Alaska 2002-10-10T10:50:20.570Z -1.757 134.297 7.6 near the north coast of Papua, Indonesia 2002-09-08T18:44:23.710Z -3.302 142.945 7.6 near the north coast of New Gu inea, Papua New Guinea 2002-08-19T11:08:24.310Z -23.884 178.495 7.7 south of the Fiji Islands 2002-08-19T11:01:01.190Z -21.696 -179.513 7.7 Fiji region 2002-03-05T21:16:09.130Z 6.033 124.249 7.5 Mindanao, Philippines 2001-11-14T09:26:10.010Z 35.946 90.541 7.8 southern Qinghai, China 2001-10-19T03:28:44.460Z -4.102 123.907 7.5 Banda Sea 2001-07-07T09:38:43.520Z -17.543 -72.077 7.6 near the coast of southern Pe ru 2001-06-23T20:33:14.130Z -16.265 -73.641 8.4 near the coast of southern Pe ru 2001-01-26T03:16:40.500Z 23.419 70.232 7.7 Gujarat, India 2001-01-13T17:33:32.380Z 13.049 -88.66 7.7 offshore El Salvador 2001-01-01T06:57:04.170Z 6.898 126.579 7.5 Mindanao, Philippines 2000-11-17T21:01:56.490Z -5.496 151.781 7.8 New Britain region, Papua New Guinea 2000-11-16T07:42:16.930Z -5.233 153.102 7.8 New Ireland region, Papua New Guinea 2000-11-16T04:54:56.740Z -3.98 152.169 8 New Ireland region, Papua New Gui nea 2000-06-18T14:44:13.310Z -13.802 97.453 7.9 South Indian Ocean 2000-06-04T16:28:26.170Z -4.721 102.087 7.9 southern Sumatra, Indonesia 2000-05-04T04:21:16.210Z -1.105 123.573 7.6 Sulawesi, Indonesia 2000-03-28T11:00:22.510Z 22.338 143.73 7.6 Volcano Islands, Japan region 1999-11-26T13:21:15.570Z -16.423 168.214 7.5 Vanuatu 1999-09-30T16:31:15.690Z 16.059 -96.931 7.5 Oaxaca, Mexico 1999-09-20T17:47:18.490Z 23.772 120.982 7.7 Taiwan 1999-08-17T00:01:39.130Z 40.748 29.864 7.6 western Turkey 1998-11-29T14:10:31.960Z -2.071 124.891 7.7 Banda Sea 1998-05-03T23:30:21.910Z 22.306 125.308 7.5 southeast of Taiwan 1998-03-25T03:12:25.070Z -62.877 149.527 8.1 Balleny Islands region 1998-01-04T06:11:58.970Z -22.301 170.911 7.5 southeast of the Loyalty Isla nds 1997-12-05T11:26:54.690Z 54.841 162.035 7.8 near the east coast of the Kam chatka Peninsula, Russia 1997-11-08T10:02:52.610Z 35.069 87.325 7.5 western Xizang 1997-10-14T09:53:18.150Z -22.101 -176.772 7.8 south of the Fiji Islands 1997-04-21T12:02:26.430Z -12.584 166.676 7.7 Santa Cruz Islands 1996-11-12T16:59:44.030Z -14.993 -75.675 7.7 near the coast of central Per u 1996-06-17T11:22:18.540Z -7.137 122.589 7.9 Flores Sea 1996-06-10T04:03:35.480Z 51.564 -177.632 7.9 Andreanof Islands, Aleutian I slands, Alaska 1996-02-21T12:51:01.300Z -9.593 -79.587 7.5 off the coast of northern Peru 1996-02-17T05:59:30.550Z -0.891 136.952 8.2 Biak region, Indonesia 1996-01-01T08:05:10.830Z 0.729 119.931 7.9 Minahasa, Sulawesi, Indonesia 1995-12-03T18:01:08.990Z 44.663 149.3 7.9 Kuril Islands 1995-10-09T15:35:53.910Z 19.055 -104.205 8 Colima, Mexico 1995-10-09T15:35:00.000Z 19.053 -104.208 8 Colima, Mexico 1995-08-16T10:27:28.630Z -5.799 154.178 7.7 Bougainville region, Papua New Guinea 1995-07-30T05:11:23.630Z -23.34 -70.294 8 Antofagasta, Chile 1995-05-16T20:12:44.220Z -23.008 169.9 7.7 southeast of the Loyalty Island s 1994-12-28T12:19:23.030Z 40.525 143.419 7.8 off the east coast of Honshu, Japan 1994-10-04T13:22:55.840Z 43.773 147.321 8.3 Kuril Islands 1994-06-09T00:33:16.230Z -13.841 -67.553 8.2 La Paz, Bolivia 1994-06-02T18:17:34.020Z -10.477 112.835 7.8 south of Java, Indonesia 1994-03-09T23:28:06.780Z -18.039 -178.413 7.6 Fiji region 1993-08-08T08:34:24.930Z 12.982 144.801 7.8 Guam region 1993-07-12T13:17:11.960Z 42.851 139.197 7.7 Hokkaido, Japan region 1993-06-08T13:03:36.480Z 51.218 157.829 7.5 near the east coast of the Kam chatka Peninsula, Russia 1993-01-15T11:06:05.950Z 43.3 143.691 7.6 Hokkaido, Japan region 1992-12-12T05:29:26.350Z -8.48 121.896 7.8 Flores region, Indonesia 1992-09-02T00:16:01.690Z 11.742 -87.34 7.7 near the coast of Nicaragua 1991-12-22T08:43:13.410Z 45.533 151.021 7.6 Kuril Islands 1991-06-20T05:18:52.510Z 1.196 122.787 7.5 Minahasa, Sulawesi, Indonesia 1991-04-22T21:56:51.820Z 9.685 -83.073 7.6 Costa Rica 1990-12-30T19:14:18.930Z -5.097 150.967 7.5 New Britain region, Papua New Guinea

You may also wish to not examine the regularity of coincident ferry capsizi ngs coal and gold mine accidents and a variety of well, let your mind roam free since it is not bound by compunctions common to ordinary mortals.

[Tim+]

Lumpy runways? ;-)

Tim

[Tim+]

I think we can all agree that you are no ordinary mortal.

Tim

[Weatherlawyer]

of airliners take place within a few days of a large earthquake. Yesterday I forecast another such earthquake for Sunday.

should they have all the fun?

ai-egyptian-pm-says

Air-storms of the same amplitude as magnitude 7 or greater earthquakes are vary rare. And had the suspected correlation been linked to the demise of t ropical storms the correlation offered to the Imbecilical Tim would have be en made clear to him inasmuch as anything can be made clear to Tim.

There seems to be an issue with the airliner that is beyond the scope of th is discussion: Sinai crash First bodies arrive in Russia as officials say plane broke up in air. If th is machine was subject to vandalism then murder is beyond my remit and will be judged by god not men.

ke-up-in-mid-air

[Tim+]

Have you never noticed how plane crashes all coincide with a high tide?

Tim

[Tim+]

Best current theory is an improper repair after a heavy "tail strike" years ago causing bulkhead failure and explosive decompression. This has sadly happened several times before. Something that can be verified by conventional science, a subject alien to you clearly.

Tim

[Tim Streater]

[tedious list deleted]

Still waiting for a hypothesis from you. Without one, this discussion (and your presentation of lists) is pointless.

[Weatherlawyer]

A quick head count: How many Australians are there on here?

Not you Tim, I meant Australians with heads, liked the film though. How did the marriage work out?

[Tim+]

Are you sober now? If so, maybe you can explain what the heck you're on about.

Tim

[Weatherlawyer]

n-sinai-egyptian-pm-says

of this discussion:

us-broke-up-in-mid-air

If you are going to jerk yourself off in a manner similar to the rest of th e group (with the exception of that Rumm-un) I will tell you nothing. Howev er since you obviously give up I will direct you to a reply I am preparing for a you tube Video once the author has finished telling me how the weathe r works to my satisfaction:

See also: