I think its already started. Its very difficult to know as if we get lucky and the sun shoves its massejections in another direction as it did a couple of weeks back then you have no immediate issue.
I can say this though at the moment the propagation over short distances of low frequencies in the mornings is crap, and the noise is bad from the ionosphere. Nobody really knows the way the two processes in the sun interact to add or diminish the solar cycle. Some may suggest by a rule of what happened when things are as they are now, but I cannot say I'm impressed with accuracy. With a bit of luck it will fry Musks satellites and deorbit them. Brian