The IPCC report due to be released later today appears from media reporting to be a unsurprising catalogue of doom and gloom, so no nothing new there.
It is expected to link for the first time CO2 levels with the heat dome of the Western US, wild fires, and flooding.
The media have not yet reported on whether the document mentions that these have occurred before, to much greater extents, at periods where the effect of human activity was insignificant in planetary terms.
Dig deep, they want your money...
"We (the UN/IPCC) redistribute de facto the world's wealth by climate policy..."
After having my browser checked multiple times (why??) I managed to navigate to the AR6 Synthesis Report outline. Thank goodness I'm using a VPN.
This from that document gives more than a hint of paranoia:
[Emphasis added]
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Public code access
It is desirable that code used to produce figures from the SPM, TS and SR be archived, and eventually made publicly available and citable. However, if AR6 code is made public, bugs will inevitably be found. In a typical software development environment, bugs reports simply trigger a review process, corrections and a bug-fix release.
In the IPCC context, there is a *concern**that**bad**faith**actors* could *identify**bugs* and disclose them at inopportune moments or blow them out of proportion in order to *inflict**reputational**damage*.
This risk of bugs creeping into the code can be mitigated by a review process, but not removed entirely. In any case, TG-Data would recommend against publicly releasing code that has not been reviewed by other authors within each chapter. =====
IOW, you can't see the code, just take it on faith, in the manner of a religion. No more Climategates here, thank you!
Presumably the 'Bad Faith Actors' are the people who can see that the emperor has no clothes, and aren't shy of saying so.
Unfortunately, though, its the number and frequency which is the smoking gun, The weather is always unpredictable, certainly but even I can see that things are getting worse much more often than they used to so what would be your hypothesis of the cause of this? Brian
He took what was accepted (Lorentz Fitzgerald contraction, Michelson-Morley experiment, James Clark Maxwell's equation etc) and showed how a pretty simple theory couple unify it all
- special relativity.
He gave a theoretical explanation for Brownian motion.
He gave a theoretical model to explain the photoelectric effect (what he got the Nobel for) that took Plank's work further.
But it all depends on the timescale that you choose. If you look back from the 60's over a lifetime span, what you see is cooling. I vividly remember many individuals from my grandparents' generation lamenting the loss of the "long, hot summers" in the miserable, cold damp ones that prevailed in the 60's.
I'm aware of those arguments. But the 1960s apocalyptic visions of famine were wrong. Now, if you want to see climate change with a real effect on much of the developed world, wait for the next ice age. For that matter, the end of the last one, which gave 125 metres sea level rise, ultimately changed us from foraging hunter gatherers to what we are now.
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