[CC] IPCC Report to be released today

After having my browser checked multiple times (why??) I managed to navigate to the AR6 Synthesis Report outline. Thank goodness I'm using a VPN.

This from that document gives more than a hint of paranoia:

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1. Public code access

It is desirable that code used to produce figures from the SPM, TS and SR be archived, and eventually made publicly available and citable. However, if AR6 code is made public, bugs will inevitably be found. In a typical software development environment, bugs reports simply trigger a review process, corrections and a bug-fix release.

In the IPCC context, there is a *concern* *that* *bad* *faith* *actors* could *identify* *bugs* and disclose them at inopportune moments or blow them out of proportion in order to *inflict* *reputational* *damage*.

This risk of bugs creeping into the code can be mitigated by a review process, but not removed entirely. In any case, TG-Data would recommend against publicly releasing code that has not been reviewed by other authors within each chapter. =====

IOW, you can't see the code, just take it on faith, in the manner of a religion. No more Climategates here, thank you!

Presumably the 'Bad Faith Actors' are the people who can see that the emperor has no clothes, and aren't shy of saying so.

Unsurprising. Also makes it easier to go back later and change the claims, in the style of Cummings' blogs.

What I find depressing is that there are so few alternative voices these days. I think Richard Feynman is worth a read:

Unfortunately, though, its the number and frequency which is the smoking gun, The weather is always unpredictable, certainly but even I can see that things are getting worse much more often than they used to so what would be your hypothesis of the cause of this? Brian

Now why is that? Perhaps because it's a settled issue and the consensus is overwhelming.

2) What has concensus to do with it? Galileo went against the then prevailing consensus. So did Einstein, come to that.

Galileo ok

Einstein ? not so sure.

He took what was accepted (Lorentz Fitzgerald contraction, Michelson-Morley experiment, James Clark Maxwell's equation etc) and showed how a pretty simple theory couple unify it all

- special relativity.

He gave a theoretical explanation for Brownian motion.

He gave a theoretical model to explain the photoelectric effect (what he got the Nobel for) that took Plank's work further.

General Relativity ... mmmm

Tim is probably referring to "god does not play dice".

But it all depends on the timescale that you choose. If you look back from the 60's over a lifetime span, what you see is cooling. I vividly remember many individuals from my grandparents' generation lamenting the loss of the "long, hot summers" in the miserable, cold damp ones that prevailed in the 60's.

OK perhaps Einstein not so much.

This is an interesting read, a couple of years old, but points out the differnce between regional variations/trends, to now, with a more global trend.

I'm aware of those arguments. But the 1960s apocalyptic visions of famine were wrong. Now, if you want to see climate change with a real effect on much of the developed world, wait for the next ice age. For that matter, the end of the last one, which gave 125 metres sea level rise, ultimately changed us from foraging hunter gatherers to what we are now.

Oh, he really did.

When you look at what Einstein did to science, he blew Cartesian Realism apart.

No more absolute Time, and then No more Flat Cartesian space.

The the quantum boys blew Determinism out of the water.

Followed by the Detached Observer.

Einstein was awarded his PhD for an uncontroversial topic.

The consensus was to kick Relativity into the long grass.

I think you might need to spell that out in more detail, for the benefit of the consensus scientists of uk.sci.weather.

Perhaps there were heatwaves; however, UK temperature has generally been on the rise, including for the 70 years before the 1960s.

Where did you get that info from?

The trend line shows mean temperatures rose between about 1880 and 1950, then dipped a bit until 1965, then started increasing again until about

Most of these quoted clowns linger in the bozo bin, presumably discussing whether the Earth is flat! Is that settled?

Tell that to the residents of California and Greece watching their homes and towns burn.