I've been offline for a bit. I got involved in something pointless, then along came a proposal for a damn great big solar farm between my house and the nearest pub - so I've been crunching data.
The first thing I found is that there are some errors in the data in Gridwatch. (the real one, not the commercial copy). Enough errors that I couldn't use the data to work out what is going on.
I've got a partial filter - but it's not enough, so I ended up using data from NESO instead. NESO don't publish as much information, but they seem to be reliable, so I used them for my conclusions.
My filter for the gridwatch data says: Ignore a line if:
- The frequency is zero
- The demand is zero
- The demand has risen by more than 50%, or dropped to 2/3 of the previous value
- The demand and the frequency have not changed from the previous one
Sometimes the data is the same for an entire month at a time :(
My conclusions BTW are that solar power - even rooftop solar - is a complete waste in this climate. It cannot help us to reach the Governments "Net Zero" target, nor can it do anything useful.
The reasons?
If you look at the demand for power it's highest in the evening, and in winter.
In winter in the evening it's dark.
That means we need something else to make the power then.
If it works then it can work any time.
Incidentally right now solar _does_ do something useful - on the days when it is sunny they can throttle back the gas. But that won't be the case if we are using the less than 5% gas that "net zero" requires. By 2030.
Andy