May rise dramatically as 40% of the region's refining capacity closes.
"While the largest loss by volume will be gasoline supplies, idling the
Marcus Hook refinery early in the current heating season eliminates a major
regional source of heating oil supplies in a market with relatively low
stock levels, although a mild start to the winter has eased demand. By the
winter of 2012/13, more regionally-sourced ULSD and heating oil supplies
will be lost if Sunocos Philadelphia refinery is also shut down."
Government report (PDF)
Story and report opine that some of the shortage, depending on transport
capacity, will have to come from Gulf Coast refineries.
Of course if one moved to Texas, there wouldn't be much of a transport