So is there a consensus here that my proposed new footing is going to settle? And is settling to be expected even if I make it 2' by 2' as Bob has proposed?
If I jack up the beam 1/4" in anticipation of settling, the result will be damage to the structure above the beam.
If I load the new post with the beam at its current level and it settles 1/4", the result will be damage to the structure above the beam.
The existing post has rested on the slab for 75 years, and I have no particular reason to expect the slab to fail (or to settle) if I put the _new_ post on the slab. Barring a slab failure, this approach produces no damage.
So this brings me full-circle back to the issue that we were discussing last week Except now it appears that I _can_ expect damage if I pour a new post footing instead of resting the new post on the slab where the old post rested.
-Mark