Load Calc

I need to either replace my distribution box or add sub panel so that I can use arcfault breakers. (my current panel does not have these available). I am trying to decide if 100A is enough (and I won't need to change the entrance conductors) or if I should upgrade to 200A for future upgrades.

In particular, I have done the load calculation per NEC 220 and come up with

75A. I want to reserve enough extra current for a future spa. When doing a load calculation can I use all 100A rated on the panel or is there a derating factor I must use? How high in the load calc can one go before a larger service panel is indicated?
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In my opinion, if you are going to upgrade a panel the cost difference between a 100A and 200A is minimal compared to the cost of the labor. Go bigger, you may never need it but some future homeowner may appreciate it., I know I would.

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