Herd Immunity in April?

[trader_4]

Unlike you, who has your mind all made up and won't ever change. Only problem is that it's almost all wrong. Sometimes nature fixes that. Ask Herman Cain.

[Fred]

Doesn?t take any brilliance to work that out, or to notice that that was the time when the TB vaccine was first available and mass xray screening for TB started and that its much more likely that was the reason for the big drop in TB deaths at that time.

[gfretwell]

Since the US Covid survival rate is ~99.8% that means if 4 people out of 2000 inmates die, assuming almost every inmate at Marion at the peak population (2033) was infected, they are duplicating the average in America. I doubt 4 inmates dying would make the news. According to BJS.GOV the normal death rate in state and local prisons is more than that anyway (0.25%)

[gfretwell]

The treatment for TB was still pretty primitive in the 50s. My dad had it. They really expected him to die.

[Fred]

That?s a different issue to the avoidance of getting it in the first place. Its the big drop in the number getting infected that happened then and has been proposed by some as due to the spanish flu.

[gfretwell]

Women are certainly under represented ;-)

[trader_4]

IDK where you got that number. I see 500K dead, 28 mil cases, that's 1.7%. Even if you account for some number of cases never identified, I don't see any credible sources saying the death rate is only 0.2%. Not here or anywhere.

[gfretwell]

It is based on a projection of the number of people who got Covid, got better spontaneously and were never tested. I can't find the article right now but it was based on positive antibody tests in people who never presented at a doctor or went to a hospital. I suppose Bowman's observation about the fatalities or lack thereof at Marion tends to verify that. Three or 4 dead inmates is not going to make the news. Forty would.

[Tekkie©]

On Sun, 21 Feb 2021 17:55:27 -0500, [e-mail] posted for all of us to digest...

Ask Jeffy Epstein

[micky]

or death