My 16-day forecast from today gives night-time temps three or four
degrees above zero from 20/Dec/12 to 27/Dec/12!
The boiler is working far better since a new capacitor was fitted. 34
heating events since then and 8 lockouts.
But if the temps are above freezing, I won't have to worry.
Of course, forecasts can be wrong...
Anyone else want to confirm an expected "warm" Christmas? (This is the
Fens, BTW, roughly midway between Spalding and King's Lynn.)
Just about where cold winds from the Arctic usually hit first then.
I rate weather forecasts as follows:
Up to 6 hours ahead: almost always accurate
Up to 12 hours ahead: most often correct
Up to 24 hours ahead: more often than not correct
Up to 3 days ahead: sometimes a useful guide
Up to 5 days ahead: liable to change
More than 5 days ahead: unreliable.
Indeed, the forecast at the beginning of this week said that Thurs
(tomorrow) was going to hit double figures. Now it turns out *Friday* will
be the milder day and *tomorrow* will be a few degrees above freezing.
All depends on the wind, I suppose. But I tend to think that there can only
be a finite number of combining factors that cause various wind
temperatures, levels and directions, and therefore someone should be able to
predict a little more accurately for 3-5 days ahead at least.
On Wed, 12 Dec 2012 19:43:02 +0000, The Natural Philosopher
I'm often puzzled by these "...erly" wind directions.
Logically a northerly wind would blow towards the North, i.e. in a
northerly direction, but it seems to refer to a wind blowing _from_
the North. Similarly for other directions.
I would call a wind blowing from the north as a North wind, rather
On Wed, 12 Dec 2012 23:36:36 +0000, Frank Erskine wrote:
When I was v. young I had trouble with this, especially as if one heads in a
The other one is the direction of rotation of systems: it's given as the
rotation on the chart as seen from above, e.g. high pressure rotates
clockwise, but we live on the 'other side' of the system.
On Wednesday, December 12, 2012 11:36:36 PM UTC, Frank Erskine wrote:
Why is _to_ more logical than _from_ ? It seems to me
that both are arbitrary choices.
Oh, I would find that even more confusing. Having North wind mean
the exact opposite for Northerly wind seems like a really bad idea.
I just remember
"The North Wind (*) doth blow
and we shall have snow ..."
*: Yes I can see that the mnemonic agrees with your usage.
Afraid recent experience suggests far worse than that. Quite often 5
minutes ahead is way out. Something like this - at 11:55 full sun is
predicted for 12:00, 15:00 and 18:00 - but is starts raining heavily,
with full, thick cloud cover at 11:30 and remains like that well into
We have actually discussed the possibility of a bug in the weather
display (rather than their predictions as such) because so often what
they show two days ahead is more accurate than the day before or even,
all too frequently, on the day itself.
Have to admit, we have not logged everything and analysed the forecasts
- but that is certainly how it all too often feels.
I know weather forecasting is not an exact science, but I'm getting a
little cheesed off with the BBC's forecasts. Again this morning at
both 05:35 and 06:10 the forecast stated icy conditions for Eastern
England, yet here, near Boston, it's not freezing at all this morning
and the temperature is considerably higher than yesterday morning.
The weather, in fact, is much closer to what the website
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com says. Using this to display frost
risk for 16 days shows NO risk from 15/Dec/12 to 28/Dec/12 in my
immediate postcode, and I have been tracking the actual weather here
against this forecast for over a week. It looks like the forecast is
completely accurate. It predicted a rise in temp today and that is
exactly what has happened -- when the *BBC* is saying "freezing
Well, now the stats are in! And the forecast was dead accurate. I
needn't have switched on the heating at all, after all the panic over
the Wallstar oil boiler. This was the 16-day forecast from
http://www.theweatheroutlook.com by the way, which didn't predict
~any~ frost for the Christmas week, the week I was away. And even
since Christmas the weather in the Boston area has remained very mild.
The Wallstar is now functioning perfectly, by the way.
I race sailing dinghies.
Looks like this weekend will be off due to gales after last weekend's
flat calm :( but I'd agree with those numbers. If anything a little
generous And I always reckon that if they can't get the wind right then
everything else will be wrong, because it won't have blown to where they
<fx looks at forecast> Saturday forecast much better than last night's
chart would suggest...
HomeOwnersHub.com is a website for homeowners and building and maintenance pros. It is not affiliated with any of the manufacturers or service providers discussed here.
All logos and trade names are the property of their respective owners.