Probably not, but if we can just slow it down enough that it doesn't get
a grip during winter then we will have more time to develop a vaccine.
Dry spring sunshine kills flu and similar viruses on surfaces.
Bit tough on Australia and South America though if it goes pandemic they
will be going into winter with the infection already raging elsewhere.
On 26/02/2020 12:21, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
No-one would have predicted that Northern Italy, the expensive
part would have an outbreak, before other countries though.
Since China has such an economic grip on Africa, I'm surprised
that we haven't had any outbreaks there (yet).
Those who realise that it has a high level of tourist
traffic in winter with the ski fields would have,
That may just be because their medical systems are
too primitive to have even noticed it yet and the infected
chinese returning from chinese new year in china have
kept quiet about what they have done for obvious reasons.
It will almost certainly spread, but to what degree remains to be
seen. But a lot of people in the UK die from 'ordinary' flu (if there
is such a thing) each year, mainly in the winter, and as the symptoms
of corona virus seem to be no worse that 'ordinary' flu, I can't see
it being any worse that what normally happens.
See also https://vk.ovg.ox.ac.uk/vk/influenza-flu
Influenza mortality: 0.05%
COVID-19 mortality: 2%
If that continues (and the 2% number seems to be holding steady), it's
substantially 'worse than what normally happens'.
Yes, but we have had a lot longer to deal with flu, and in any case not
every flu is as violent, as say the last pandemic I remember, Asian Flu.
That kept me off work for over 6 weeks mainly because I got pneumonia
afterwards due to the compromised and weakened state it leaves you in.
This newsgroup posting comes to you directly from...
From a viruse's point of view it would be preferable if no hosts
died at all. Death is simply an unintended side effect, often the result
of entirely speparate existing conditions.
In terms of incubation periods its clearly preferable for hosts
to move around for as long as possible before developing symptoms
so as to pass the virus on to other hosts.
In both of thse cases the virus in question is asscociated with
health problems which can cause death or temporary incapacity.
However its often only because a particular virus is associated with
health problems that its been identified as such in the first place.
I can't remember the specific details but humans as with all mammals
birds fish etc are hosts to millions of micro-organisms 99.95 of which
are either benign or beneficial and most of which are fairly short lived..
I can't reemeber whether viruses are numbered among these.
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