UARS Satellite orbit information (10:15 pm EST)

[Home Guy]

At about 10:45 pm EST (7:45 pm PST) the UARS satellite should be over north america near San Diego. That's in about 30 to 35 minutes.

The following list of cities and (mostly - small towns) is given in geographic order from the south-west to the north-east. The satellite's orbit will be either directly over or maybe 10 to 20 miles to the east or west of these places:

Oceanside (CA) Encintas San Diego Escondido Palm Springs

Bullhead City (NV) Boulder City

St. George (UT) Panguitch Ferron Vernal

Rawlins (WY) Casper Newcastle / Upton

Lead / Sturgis (SD) McLaughlin

Linton (ND) Napoleon Lanmore Grand Forks AFB

Stephen (MN) Karlstad Greenbush Reseau Lake of the Woods

Kenora (ON) Dryden Sioux Lookout Fort Hope Attawapiskat

As of 10:15 pm EST the satellite is directly south of Australia at the lowest point of it's orbit (the most southerly point).

[Metspitzer]

[Home Guy]

As of 10:30 pm EST (1 hour ago) Nasa was expecting the satellite to re-enter during a 1-hour window between 11:45 pm and 12:45 am. This would be during it's final orbit to pass over North America, which I think will start at 11:30 or 11:35 near Portland OR.

During that 1-hour time period, the satellite will be passing over Canada and Africa, as well as vast areas of the Pacific, Atlantic and Indian oceans.

The satellite is currently over Madagascar.

[Home Guy]

Correction - the final orbit over north america will start 12:30 - 12:35 (EST) about 1 hour from now.

So NASA expects that the satellite could start re-entry in about 10 minutes (very close to antarctica) and the re-entry window should be almost closed by the time it comes over north america near Portland. I think it will pass directly over New Zealand during this time.

[Home Guy]

This is a link to a jpg image of what should be the final orbit of the UARS satellite:

The position indicated was probably 10 minutes ago - it is currently just slightly north of the equator.

If it didn't re-enter over New Zealand (and the whole island would have seen it) then it Hawaii might see it burn up in the next 5 minutes.

[Home Guy]

UARS should be passing over the Portland area in about 5 minutes.

[RicodJour]

Yeah, keep up the good work until FedEx gets there with your meds. Sheesh.

R

[micky]

Channel 45 news in Blatimore in the 10PM hour said the odds of being hit were one in iirc 32,000 and compared it with the odds of winning the lottery. They really don't get it, and they also don't pay attention to their news feed. .

The odds that someone will be hit are, they calculate, iirc, one in

32,000. The odds that someone will win t he lottery are close to 1, and when no one wins the money goes into next weeks lottery, until somone does win.

[Metspitzer]

The odds it will hit "someone" is 1 in 32k. The odds it will hit some specific person, like the lotto, is 1 in 21 trillion.

[micky]

Right. Better put. But the tv guys didn't seem to get that.

[micky]

I heard on the news that it was near Calvary, Alberta (Manitoba?) Canada.

[micky]

I mean Calgary.

[JimT]

The one near Monkey's Eyebrow?