Looks like desktop and laptop computers are on the way out. The
smartphone with it's always on internet browser is coming in. Use a
tablet to connect to your smartphone's own hotspot if you want a larger
screen. Portable, mobile use anywhere. Should also kill computer desk
sales. Works for me.
Can't do graphics, photo, cam/cam, spreadsheets, and a dozen other
things on a cellphone or even a tablet. Yes, full desktops boxes will
lose popularity for many purposes and no doubt get smaller in size,
but will never be "on the way out", any more than TV's. Another
thing. I'll never use a cellphone or tablet for anything I need to
view. I'm a geezer and can't see something that small fer dammit, and
EVERYONE'S eyes get worse with age and EVERYONE ages.
Yep. A friend of mine has an ipad and it's nice for some things, but
even in the limited time I spent playing with it I found quite a few
times where a keyboard, mouse and larger display were really needed. I
also do the CAD/CAM and CNC control on desktop type PCs, with a 26"
monitor on my CAD/CAM PC. I certainly won't be doing any CAD/CAM work on
a tiny phone or tablet screen.
Actually pretty accurate. Desktop sales continue to decline each year in
favor of more portable devices.
The newer smartphones do a pretty good job of panning and zooming. My
phone has an 8 megapixel camera so I am pretty sure it does photos and
video (it also does stuff like scanning barcodes and has software that
allows me to take a picture of a document and convert it into a PDF and
send it via its full featured email client if I want), I can certainly
do spreadsheets and I have no idea what cam/cam is.
And I do use the wireless hotspot for my tablet notebook.
And the reason is because the desktop market has reached saturation.
More than 75% of the population owns one (or more) already. So instead
of buying another one, they are buying a mobile device. For most
people, it's not replacing their desktop, it's being used in addition
to their desktop.
Which are ok for either req'd portability and/or the small viewpoint
But panning and zooming is _very_ time-consuming for _real_ work of any
great magnitude. And the input devices for manual interaction are, to
coin a phrase, "pathetic" simply owing to the size factor.
The workstation isn't going away; simply the number of alternates for
other purposes is going up. I'd wager a fair amount of any decline in
sales is tied to economic conditions more than the form factor for the
market wherein workstations are important.
There are simply different types of work being done on the different
platforms and I don't see that the large scale work is going to go away
but the more or less trivial application has always outclassed the
"power user" in sheer numbers and will continue to do so.
But as another poster notes, it's a far different thing to say that
other markets grow than that the whole workstation market is going away
But you need to have access to a paper map. Electronic maps bring a lot
to the table. I have never seen a paper map that can locate your
position on it and tell you which direction you are traveling (pretty
handy when it is pitch black in a rainstorm and you are in an unfamiliar
area or you got forced off the highway you knew because it was shutdown
say because of an accident).
I have also never seen a paper map where you could tap on it and have it
tell you the route to the nearest hospital or the location of nearby
restaurants (and link you to their website so you can look at the menu).
That's partly because everyone has a computer now, and many have no
need for a better one.
About 20 or 30 years ago, the most sold power tool was a sabre saw,
because everyone who used tools already had an electric drill.
I started with an 8088 computer with two floppy drives, no hard drive. I
bough new ever second generation and each was a big improvement. Faster,
better software, new gadgets like a color monitor, then a mouse, 300 baud
modem, etc. What I have today is as fast as I can use, the internet is fast
enough for video, my monitor is a nice flat screen. New computers have only
a small increment of improvement for home and light business use. Unless it
breaks, I won't ever buy a new one just for more features and speed.
Four months ago I needed a new phone so I got a smart phone. It is handy,
but it does not replace my desktop computer. It does have one nice feature
though. I can take it into the bathroom and instead of a magazine, I can
read the news on the phone.
Another fantasy scam!!
I won't even put my real name on the internet, let alone important
data. In case you haven't been paying attention, hackers are hacking
everything in sight, including govt security agencies! Putting
information on the cloud is a fool's game.
Yeah, like I'm gonna hump around a 19" cellphone/pad.
Cynically speaking, it's a good move if you want to outsource the
security issues and subsequent liability for when the security gets
breached. I can see companies choosing this for precisely that reason
- "Losing your data to hackers was not our fault! It was the cloud
storage company's fault!"
If you actually care about your data and security, that's a problem.
If you rely on cloud services, your data and apps will be a hostage to
the company's fortunes. Piss them off? Congratulations, you've just
lost access to your data. Company went bankrupt? Same thing.
Ironically, the cloud concept is inherently disadvantageous to
American IT companies, because anything stored on US-based servers can
be accessed by the US gov't on demand. Foreign-based corporations and
individuals don't like that one bit. If they choose the cloud, they
will (and are) choosing companies that can keep their data offshore
and out of the US gov't's hands. This places US cloud service
providers at a competitive disadvantage. Of course, if it isn't the
feds snooping, it's the Chinese hackers you've got to worry about.
They won't get bigger. There's a reason why the majority of books fall
within a fairly small size range - they're meant to be portable, after
all. And lcd screens are a good bit more fragile than books, and are
the single largest consumer of electricity in an electronic device.
Increase the screen size, you gotta increase the size of the battery,
too. Now you're talking real weight and bulk issues.
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